Brexit Observatory: Migration

Brexit Observatory LogoMigration was a high-profile topic during the referendum debates. As negotiations unfold, and the terms under which migrants can enter and remain in the UK, and UK citizens can move within the EU are revealed, the real impact on immigration and emigration will start to emerge.

This page offers evidence-based resources originating from IES and others on the impact of Brexit on migration and the UK workforce, including a subsection on the UK's nursing workforce.


Tony WilsonFree movement will not end with this deal - and that's welcome news

Tony Wilson, Institute Director

The draft Brexit withdrawal agreement and what it reveals about freedom of movement. Our director, Tony Wilson, reflects on the effect that this could have on the UK's future immigration system, and the labour market.


Blog iconTony Wilson: Free movement will not end with this deal - and that's welcome news

Blog iconErica Consterdine: How will ending free movement impact UK employers?

Blog iconBusinesses sound the alarm over immigration as Brexit negotiations begin (NIESR)

Blog iconBrexodus? Migration and uncertainty after the EU referendum (Migration Observatory)

Publication iconEuropean veterinary surgeons working in the UK: The impact of Brexit (baseline survey)

Blog iconBrexit: Are we facing a workforce crunch? (Flip Chart Fairy Tales)

Data iconMigration Statistics Quarterly Report Statistical bulletins (Office for National Statistics)

Publication iconImmigration and the UK Economy (Centre for Economic Performance)

Publication iconThe situation and rights of EU citizens in the UK (UK in a Changing Europe)

Blog iconBrexit: Worries for small businesses with EU staff (BBC)

Publication iconBrexit: UK-EU movement of people (House of Lords European Union Committee)

Blog iconMore talent, please: a blueprint for the UK’s future migration policy (LSE Brexit Blog)

Blog iconImmigration: who needs a deal? (UK in a Changing Europe)

Publication iconIPPR analysis highlights sectors with highest shares of lower-skilled migrant workers ahead of the formal triggering of Article 50 (IPPR)

Blog iconA new model for migration: Manufacturers' priorities for a post-Brexit world (Engineering Employers' Federation (EEF))

Blog iconThe British jobs Brexit makes hard to fill (The Observer)

Blog iconSector-specific immigration system needed post-Brexit, minister suggests (People Management)

Publication iconCommon Travel Area: Prospects after Brexit (NI Constitution)

Blog iconLondon’s 1.8m migrant workers contribute annual average of £46,000 (Financial Times (£))

Blog iconTUC analysis details risk to NHS and social care in England from loss of EU workers (TUC)

Blog iconImmigration is falling – be careful what you wish for (UK in a Changing Europe)

Blog iconMigrant labour and agriculture (UK in a Changing Europe)

Blog iconImmigration: a few questions (Flip Chart Fairy Tales Blog)

Publication iconThe Impact of Acquiring EU Status on the Earnings of East European Migrants in the UK: Evidence from a Quasi-Natural Experiment (COMPAS, University of Oxford)

Publication iconThe United Kingdom’s exit from, and new partnership with, the European Union White Paper – Sections 5 and 6 (DExEU)

Blog iconFall in supply of EU nationals contributing to skills and labour shortages (CIPD)

Blog iconThe Brexit immigration myth: Ending EU freedom of movement will not make a dramatic difference to net migration (Global Future)

Video iconRachel Marangozov - Post-Brexit immigration systems and the impact on skills and labour supply: Update January 2017

Publication iconBrexit implications for employment and social affairs: facts and figures

Publication iconLabour Immigration after Brexit: Trade-offs and Questions about Policy Design (Migration Observatory)

Blog iconThe cost of post-Brexit migration control (People Management)

Blog iconUK work permits at heart of Brexit immigration plan (Financial Times (£))

Blog iconLet's Talk about Immigration: Young People, Jobs and Training (The State of Working Britain)

Video iconBrexit and labour market policy evidence session (Work and Pensions Committee)

Publication iconInterim report into integration of migrants (APPG on Social Integration)

Blog iconGovernment working to avoid labour shortage post-Brexit (Sky News)

Blog iconThe economic impact of Brexit-induced reductions in migration to the UK (VoxEU)

Blog iconWhy Britain’s public finances will suffer if Brexit reduces migration (The Conversation)

Publication iconReport of the Inquiry into securing the status of EEA+ nationals in the UK (British Future)

Video iconLabour Mobility after Brexit (Bruegel)

Blog iconBrexit – six months on: Immigration and free movement (UK in a Changing Europe)

Blog iconRachel Marangozov - Brexit, population ageing and nursing shortages: A perfect storm?

Publication iconBeyond Brexit: Assessing key risks to the nursing workforce in England

Publication iconThe economic impact of Brexit-induced reductions in migration (NIESR)

Blog iconNet migration begins to fall after Brexit vote – but residency applications from Europeans surge (People Management)

Blog iconWhat’s happening to immigration post-Brexit (NIESR)

Publication iconBrexit – Five months on (Sage Pubs)

 Publication iconBritain's immigration offer to Europe (British Future)

Blog iconWork permits back on the agenda for future EU workers (People Management)

Blog iconThe Fiscal Impact of Immigration in the UK (Migration Observatory)

Publication iconImmigration and the UK: Reflections After Brexit (Centre for Research & Analysis of Migration)

Blog iconRachel Marangozov - Migrants don’t ‘take jobs’ and many sectors would struggle without them (Huffington Post)

Publication iconRecruitment in Britain: Examining employers' practices and attitudes to employing UK-born and foreign-born workers

Video iconRachel Marangozov - Post-Brexit immigration systems and the impact on skills supply

Publication iconBrexit and the future of migrants in the social care workforce (Independent Age)

Blog iconWhat might lower migration mean for workers, employers and government policy? (Resolution Foundation)

Blog iconBusinesses need reassurance on EU employees (British Chambers of Commerce)

Blog iconMadeleine Sumption - Immigration and Brexit: Four challenges

Blog iconWhat would UK immigration policy look like after Brexit? (Migration Observatory)

Blog iconRachel Marangozov - The true cost of 'welfare tourism'

Publication iconSocial dimension of intra-EU mobility: Impact on public services

Publication iconA country study on immigrants from the new Member States to the United Kingdom

Blog iconEU social partners’ first reactions to Brexit (European Observatory of Working Life)

Publication iconBrexit and the Impact of Immigration on the UK (Centre for Economic Performance)

Publication iconAfter Brexit: Net migration, unemployment and job vacancies (Social Market Foundation)

Publication iconHere to stay? Residency and EU migrants after the referendum (Social Market Foundation)

Blog icon'Let them stay? If only it were that easy…' (UK in a Changing Europe)

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Nursing workforce

IES research for the Migration Advisory Committee (MAC), published in 2016, revealed the scale of challenges facing the NHS nursing workforce. It found that the current shortage in nurses has been caused by three key factors: the Francis Report’s emphasis on safe staffing levels, which has pushed up the demand for nurses, the inadequate number of funded student nursing places in recent years, and an ageing workforce.

IES researchers followed this up with analysis that revealed the NHS trusts that were most at risk following the referendum.

This section offers evidence-based resources originating from IES and others on how Brexit might effect the UK's nursing workforce and the NHS as a whole.

Video iconRachel Marangozov - Why worry about the 96% drop in EU nurse registrations?

Data iconNew data show 96% drop in nurses from EU since July last year (The Health Foundation)

Blog iconNHS to fast-track nurses as record EU staff leave service after Brexit vote (The Guardian)

Video iconNHS faces crippling crisis if Brexit forces out tens of thousands of EU nurses (RT)

Blog iconBrexit and the NHS (NHS Confed)

Blog iconPreparing for the impact of Brexit on health in the UK (UK in a Changing Europe)

Blog iconWhat impact will Brexit have on nursing? (The Guardian)

Blog iconFuture of UK health care at risk as more than four in ten European doctors considering leaving UK following Brexit vote (BMA)

Blog iconFall in applicants 'threatens nursing's future' (Royal College of Nursing)

Blog iconNumber of EU nurses coming to UK falls 90 per cent since Brexit vote (Telegraph)

Publication iconBeyond Brexit: Assessing key risks to the nursing workforce in England

Blog iconOur nurses are being cast into a perfect Brexit storm (The Guardian)

Blog iconChiara Manzoni - NHS nurses: filling the recruitment gap

Publication iconBecoming one of us (IPPR)

Blog iconRachel Marangozov - A third of nurses due to retire in the next 10 years. Who is going to plug the gap?

Blog iconFive big issues for health and social care after the Brexit vote (The King's Fund)

Blog iconHow will Brexit affect the NHS? The English trusts that depend most on EU nurses (London School of Economics)

Blog iconNurse shortage 'could last for years' (BBC)

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